Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000097 0.000107 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000161
2026-01-04 0.000074 0.000087 0.000102 0.000119 0.000140 0.000164 0.000193
2026-01-11 0.000064 0.000079 0.000096 0.000119 0.000147 0.000180 0.000224
2026-01-18 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000152 0.000195 0.000255
2026-01-25 0.000050 0.000066 0.000087 0.000117 0.000157 0.000210 0.000286
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000117 0.000163 0.000226 0.000320
2026-02-08 0.000040 0.000057 0.000080 0.000115 0.000166 0.000238 0.000349
2026-02-15 0.000037 0.000053 0.000078 0.000114 0.000170 0.000251 0.000381
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000051 0.000075 0.000115 0.000175 0.000267 0.000417
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000048 0.000073 0.000113 0.000178 0.000278 0.000449
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000046 0.000071 0.000114 0.000184 0.000296 0.000490
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000114 0.000189 0.000311 0.000530
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000041 0.000068 0.000113 0.000192 0.000324 0.000568
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000040 0.000067 0.000115 0.000199 0.000345 0.000622
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000066 0.000115 0.000205 0.000363 0.000672
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000208 0.000378 0.000719
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000035 0.000062 0.000114 0.000212 0.000394 0.000768
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000412 0.000821
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000032 0.000059 0.000112 0.000218 0.000423 0.000864
2026-05-10 0.000016 0.000031 0.000057 0.000111 0.000221 0.000438 0.000915
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000056 0.000112 0.000225 0.000456 0.000975
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000028 0.000055 0.000110 0.000227 0.000469 0.001024
2026-05-31 0.000014 0.000028 0.000054 0.000111 0.000233 0.000491 0.001097